Russia planning “year of terror” in Ukraine, Gorbulin says

2018/6/19 15:27:18

Analyst: “The Kremlin will seek to get Yuriy Boyko of the Opposition Bloc elected as president in March, which would have disastrous consequences for Ukraine.”

 


KYIV, June 18, 2018 - The Russian government is raising its political stakes in Ukraine and is planning a “year of terror” in the Ukrainian mainland, Concorde Capital informed clients based on a statement from Volodymyr Gorbulin [pictured], who served as national security and defense secretary* in earlier times. Gorbulin, a member of the Trilateral Contact Group in Minsk to resolve the conflict in Donbas, made the statement in an article published on the dt.ua news site on June 15. He added that Russia’s strategy consists of more political assassinations, deaths and social chaos in order to make the idea of capitulation more attractive when selecting candidates in next year’s presidential (March) and parliamentary (October) elections in Ukraine.

 

 “And there will always be ‘constructive politicians’ at hand who will propose ‘reconciliation’ and ‘ending this senseless war’,” wrote Gorbulin, the director of the National Institute of Strategic Research of Ukraine. “Everything will be initiated for their sake. For the sake of the fears of Ukrainian citizens and their indecisiveness. To show that Russia can do anything on this territory that it wants. And that it can’t be defeated.”

 

In Russian-occupied Donbas, the Kremlin wants to create a “Ukrainian Chechnya,” in which Ukraine will have to provide the Russian-aligned fighters enormous subsidies “while Russia will be truly governing them.” Ukraine’s best scenario for the region involves a UN peacekeeping force, but “Ukraine will need a great deal of firmness” in determining the mission, particularly its members.

 

 “These topics require very serious discussions, but they will be impossible if we can’t effectively challenge those destructive strategies that Moscow has applied to Ukraine and have been activated for the election campaign. The positional war in the east and the disinformation campaign is what we are used to and are ready to oppose,” Gorbulin wrote.

 

Concorde analyst Zenon Zawada added: “We agree wholly with Gorbulin’s conclusions and expectations. We believe the southeastern regions of Ukraine are most sensitive to Kremlin tactics to intimidate voters into selecting Russian-oriented candidates and parties, which are polling well. The Kremlin will seek to get Yuriy Boyko of the Opposition Bloc elected as president in March, which would have disastrous consequences for Ukraine. We believe Boyko’s chances of getting elected are as strong as any candidate at this moment.

 

* August 1996 – November 1999, Gorbulin was the Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine.

 

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For more information, link here: www.concorde.ua 

 

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