Analyst: “We don’t expect any success at a ceasefire in Donbas until a UN peacekeeping mission is agreed upon. And we don’t expect a UN peacekeeping mission to be agreed upon in the next two years.”
KYIV, Mar 6, 2018 - The latest attempt at a total ceasefire in the Donbas warzone – declared on March 2 by the Trilateral Contact Group – was disrupted by explosions and mortar fire attacks, Concorde Capital informed clients today based on a report by the OSCE monitoring mission. More than 200 explosions were reported by the OSCE between the evening of March 2 and 4. Meanwhile, Russian-backed forces fired at Ukrainian Armed Forces positions seven times on March 4, employing mortar and tank fire in various tangents, the Anti-Terrorist Operation press center reported. On the afternoon of March 5, a Russian-backed fighter directed his rifle against an OSCE vehicle and threatened to fire if the monitoring mission didn’t leave the territory under rebel control. The mission proceeded to withdraw to its base in Mariupol. Concorde analyst Zenon Zawada added: “We don’t expect any success at a ceasefire in Donbas until a UN peacekeeping mission is agreed upon. And we don’t expect a UN peacekeeping mission to be agreed upon in the next two years. A frozen conflict is the most likely outcome, whether achieved by Russians subverting the UN peacekeeping mission, or a combination of EU sanctions being relaxed and exhaustion on both sides of the conflict, with a new diplomatic agreement emerging as a result. ### For more information, link here: www.concorde.ua
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