Russia has been losing influence on the culture of Ukraine since 1991 when Ukraine achieved its independence, but the process accelerated following the collapse of the pro-Moscow regime of Viktor Yanukovych and Moscow’s annexation of Crimea and its continuing war in the Donbas.


“The market is clearly saying it thinks that the statements from Trump and the North Koreans are just rhetoric, and that there are no realistic military options/outcomes. So traders are clearly sleeping peacefully in their beds even if the residents of Seoul or Guam may not be so comfortable,” says Tim Ash of Bluebay Asset Management.


The main distinction of the Russian from the Belarusian,” the commentator says, “is the powerful emotionalism” of the former and are often manifested in “maximalism and extreme judgments.” The Belarusian in contrast is “the opposite of the Russian: he is pragmatic, quiet and doesn’t like extreme ideas or actions.”

Analyst: “Sooner or later, Putin will have to decide whether to withdraw from Donbas, or mount an offensive. Hrymchak’s estimate of November for such an offensive is entirely possible, but we give the odds at no better than 50/50.”

“What we are seeing in Belarus, I think, is that Russia is planning to take and annex Belarus.”

The Case for Arming Ukraine 2017/8/8 20:33:06

Sending weapons to Kyiv would reaffirm America’s commitment to the post-Cold War global order while raising the cost of Moscow’s continued territorial aggression.


Photo: Ukrainian soldiers at the Yavoriv Combat Training Center in June. (Photo: US Army Sergeant Anthony Jones 


Charles A. Kupchan, a professor of international affairs at Georgetown University and a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, served on the National Security Council from 2014 to 2017.


Ukrainian army soldiers march on Khreshchatyk street during military parade on the occasion of Ukraine's Independence Day in the capital Kyiv, Ukraine, Monday, Aug. 24, 2015.


In today’s Daily Vertical, Brian Whitmore points to facts that many in Eastern Europe live with every day but are unclear to those in other parts of Europe and North America. Talk about a new Cold War is lost on people like those in eastern Ukraine who live in the daily hell caused by Vladimir Putin and his thuggish puppets who style themselves as “separatists”.


Does Putin see, or raise the stakes, in response to sanctions, or "fold" and look to offer some form of concession. Putin's track record is that he only respects strength, and expects others (the DC security establishment which he inevitably respects) to view things from the same lens as himself. Let's see how this pans out.

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